“Stay tuned.”
That’s probably the best advice I can give to those of you who are concerned about recent moves to raise the minimum wage in states across the country.
Wages are an important issue for LeadingAge members, especially members in California and New York, where the minimum wage will increase to $15 an hour over the next several years.
California will require all employers to pay the $15-an-hour minimum wage by 2022. New York will raise the minimum wage in New York City to $15 by the end of 2018. The minimum wage will increase to that level more gradually in other, more rural, parts of the Empire State.
Rising Wages Throughout the Country
While California and New York are grabbing headlines for their high minimum wages, they are not the only states raising that wage. In fact, 29 states and the District of Columbia now have minimum wages that are higher than the national hourly rate of $7.25.
Fourteen states raised the minimum wage this year alone, with the highest wage hikes taking effect in:
- Massachusetts ($11, effective in 2017).
- Vermont ($10.50, effective in 2018).
- Hawaii ($10.10, effective in 2018).
And there’s more to come.
Cities like Seattle and Los Angeles are on track to reach $15 an hour by 2020, while San Francisco will reach the $15 minimum wage by July 1, 2018.
By 2022, Oregon’s minimum wage will increase to $14.75 in Portland, $13.50 in midsize counties, and $12.50 in rural areas. Maryland’s minimum wage will reach $10.10 by July 2018.
Wage Increases: Here to Stay
The take-away from all of this state action seems clear to me:
If you’re not paying a higher minimum wage in your state this year, you’re likely to be paying one sometime in the near future.
Pundits on both sides of the debate have been quick to predict both economic disaster and “much ado about nothing” when it comes to raising the minimum wage. However, when pressed, most of these prognosticators admit that we simply don’t have enough information right now to make any kind of accurate predictions.
That’s why I suggest that we “stay tuned” to see how these wage increases roll out across the nation.
Don’t get me wrong. I’m not suggesting passivity. Rather, we need to stay alert to a number of issues:
Honoring regional differences: California’s legislation doesn’t differentiate among the state’s economically diverse regions. The minimum wage will eventually rise to $15 for every wage earner in the state, no matter where he or she lives.
That blanket requirement could create an unfair burden for rural providers. After all, an hourly wage of $15 will have a vastly different impact on providers and workers in urban Los Angeles than in rural Modesto.
I prefer the legislation in Oregon and New York, which took geographic variations into account when establishing minimum wage rates (Oregon) and implementation schedules (New York).
Reducing the burden on providers: Some larger providers, like LeadingAge Member ABHOW, tell McKnight's Long-Term Care News that they are already planning how they will adjust their operations to meet California’s new wage requirements.
Those adjustments won’t be easy for any provider. But I worry that smaller providers with slim operating margins may not be equipped to make any adjustments at all.
We can’t forget about these providers, or the older adults they serve. They may need some financial assistance to meet their obligations under the new law. They will certainly require some adjustments in Medicaid reimbursements to ensure that they can continue providing much-needed services and supports while paying higher wages.
Home care agencies, which depend so heavily on hourly workers to deliver services and supports, are particularly vulnerable. We need to do everything we can to ensure that higher wages in this sector don’t make services so expensive that low-income seniors can no longer afford to stay at home.
Staying Alert to Coming Trends
It’s not beyond the realm of possibility that a higher minimum wage could actually help providers, by reducing turnover and increasing employee productivity. But we won’t know that for quite some time.
That’s why I find it reassuring that many states have chosen to raise the minimum wage incrementally over a number of years. California’s legislation even allows the state to pause wage hikes if they result in negative economic or budgetary conditions.
This incremental approach gives employers the time they need to incorporate new labor expenses into their budgets. But, even more important, it gives states the opportunity to assess the real impact of minimum-wage increases and make adjustments to address any emerging problems.
Balancing Nonprofit Values and Business Viability
The Nonprofit Quarterly suggests that nonprofit organizations don’t really like talking about the minimum wage. I think that’s right.
On the one hand, our deep commitment to our local communities, and to people in need, stirs us to applaud efforts that level the economic playing field for America’s most vulnerable workers.
On the other hand, we worry about the impact of wage increases on our ability to sustain our missions.
Both perspectives are very real and very important. And they are not mutually exclusive.
We need to keep both perspectives in mind in the coming years.
We need to stay alert and proactive as new minimum wage requirements roll out around the country.
And we need to get creative so we can remain true to our nonprofit roots by continuing to honor workers while working to preserve our noble missions.